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China’s Long Era of Peace: A Fragile Balance of Public Sentiment and Military Power

Author: Analyst Di Sheng

China has experienced an unprecedented era of peace, with nearly 80 years of internal stability and over 40 years without engaging in external wars. This long period of tranquility is a rarity in Chinese history, where extended periods without civil wars, invasions, or external conflicts are uncommon. Such a long-standing peace indicates a stable and prosperous era, akin to a golden age remembered as a time of good governance and flourishing society.

However, this extended peace has led to a generation largely unfamiliar with the harsh realities of war. The phrase “the elderly have never seen war” aptly describes the current state of Chinese society. Most people lack a deep understanding of the dangers and uncertainties associated with conflict, encapsulated in the concept of “war is dangerous and unpredictable.”

A significant concern lies in the fact that 70% of the Chinese population carries the MAOA gene fragment, known as the “warrior gene.” This genetic trait is associated with a propensity for violence, increased calmness and focus during violent situations, and a tendency to become more engaged in conflict as it progresses. Contrary to common stereotypes, Chinese people (Han Chinese) are not inherently gentle or submissive. Instead, they possess a latent warrior spirit, making them a true fighting nation. This inherent trait has been suppressed through Confucian teachings and modern legal norms, but it remains potent and can be unleashed under certain conditions, such as major events like war.

In recent times, there has been a noticeable tendency among the Chinese public to advocate for strong, even aggressive responses to perceived slights or threats. This attitude reflects a deep-seated warrior spirit, with a strong sense of holding grudges and being combative. This sentiment was highlighted during a period when the public criticized the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for being too soft, sarcastically sending calcium supplements to the ministry to “strengthen” its stance.

Given this background, it is crucial for China to carefully manage the display of military power. While China does not fear war, it is essential to engage in conflicts only at the most opportune times, ensuring minimal costs and maximal benefits. Maintaining a calm and measured approach is vital to avoid being swept away by public sentiment into hasty and potentially disastrous actions. The delicate balance between public opinion and military strategy must be carefully maintained to ensure continued peace and stability.

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